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'HAIR CUT "

Well, hell, ALL HAIL SOVEREIGNTY. We all bend the knee. Knowing Mott, he’ll put him in bubble wrap, point him toward the Breeders’ Cup at Keeneland, and call it his last hoorah. That’s probably the plan. We felt Magnitude wasn’t coming into the race Asmussen-style. The filly is courageous. White Abarrio? He can’t stand Saratoga. Baeza? Baeza is the dilemma. He has tons of talent, but I’m starting to believe there are some hind-end hiccups going on that are causing him to brea

It's Coming

All of it. SkyNet. Terminators. The whole fuckin' thing. And before you tell me I'm crazy, look around. Everybody is sprinting to replace human beings with AI like it's the greatest invention since sliced bread. Nobody seems to stop and ask, "What happens next?" Massive disruption. That's what happens. Not a little inconvenience. Massive. Companies have already turned their websites into a never-ending game of Where's Fuckin Waldo? I don't know who designs these things, but I

Saratoga Rant II

Here we Go Again! Every year, there is always something, its not one thing its another, but thats for another day. Our blog yesterday sparked some to write us, overwhelmingly it was well received, but you know it, its always that one guy, and its not that they have something worthwhile to add: "You don't no Shit" OK, Sparky, its know not no. As usual, people read a blog, skim it, and completely miss the point. They immediately become emotional—either for it or against it. Tha

Cornucopian

You hate to see it. They are our favorite equine athletes. They give us everything they have, every afternoon, asking for nothing more than a fair chance and carrot or mint after. They don't know politics. They don't know social media. They don't know agendas. They simply run. That's why we owe them better. Yesterday at Del Mar, we were reminded how fragile this game and life, really is. Cornucopian. I had the pleasure of watching him train in Kentucky. He was always willing.

Racing for Dummies: Understanding Saratoga

Saratoga is unlike any other race meet in North America. At roughly 11 weeks, it's actually a short window when you're talking about developing young horses. For maidens—especially first-time starters—there's barely enough time to get everything accomplished. One mistake, for starters, I see handicappers make every year is looking at workout tabs in May and June and assuming every horse that will race at Saratoga is already on the grounds. It's a fair assumption. It's also wr

Stories

You know what brings people together in every walk of life—and especially in racing? A good story. During my years in this business, I've had the pleasure of speaking with thousands of horseplayers. It never failed. The moment the conversation turned into a story, their ears perked up. Racing is one giant book of stories. We use them to teach lessons, make a point, relive memories, and simply entertain. Some stories are about champions. Others are about heartbreak. The best o

But...

I hate that word. Not dislike. Hate it. But. The most overused word in handicapping. The most abused word on television. The favorite word of every talking head that wants to sound smart without ever risking being wrong. "But" is not an opinion. "But" is insurance. Listen carefully the next time you watch a race show. "I like the 7. Good speed. Fits the race. Tactical advantage... but..." Stop. The second but comes out of your mouth, you just told me you don't believe your ow

Karma

Karma Always Collects! Sooner or later, karma knows your address. It knows where you live. In horse racing, I've come to believe karma is just as real as speed figures, trip notes, and the tote board. You might fool people for a while. You might catch a lucky break. You might even think you've beaten the system. You haven't. Time never forgets. Neither does karma I've lived by that principle throughout my career in handicapping. Do the work. Respect the game. Stay honest with

Trends. Trends. Trends.

In every other sport, that's where the conversation starts. Baseball? You know what a hitter has done in his last 60 at-bats. Football? You know how many touchdowns a running back has scored over the last four games. Basketball? You know an NBA player's free-throw percentage over the past month. Horse racing? We're still talking about five-year trainer stats. Five years. Think about how much changes in this game from one week to the next, yet we're expected to handicap today

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