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The Code

Ah, yes… the art of race-watching. Sit down. Pour a drink. Because what you’re attempting to learn isn’t a method, my friend—it’s a sensibility, a way of seeing the world that most people never acquire.


Most handicappers approach replays like over-caffeinated TSA agents—rifling through every frame, searching for “trouble,” obsessing over who broke slow, who went wide, who was checked, bumped, boxed, or bullied. They watch replays the way the world watches security footage: hoping to catch a thief in the act.


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But you and I… we’re after something far more elusive. Trouble? Everyone sees that. Even the office intern can spot a horse trapped behind a deteriorating longshot. No, what you’re after is the intent, the rhythm or the heartbeat of the race. The way a race was meant to be run—and how it actually unfolded. That, my friend, is where the secrets lie.


Speed horses who don’t show speed? Sluggish plodders who suddenly sprout wings like they’ve had an epiphany? These aren’t coincidences. They’re signals—subtle discrepancies in the choreography. Closers near the pace, pace-pressers suddenly languishing in the rear… these are the fish out of water you must learn to observe.


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Before the gates even open, visualize the race. See it. Let it breathe in your mind. Then watch the replay and note every place where reality betrays expectation. That’s where the truth hides.


First-time starters? Ah, the enigmatic debutantes of the racetrack. They are as unpredictable as a diplomat with a secret passport. Learn them through their works; feel their energy, their immaturity, their raw class or lack thereof. Style, contrary to popular belief, is not fixed. It is a hostage to sharpness, seasoning, and class. A horse can debut like a sleeping tortoise and return in start number two as if auditioning for a Fast & Furious installment.


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Do not put horses in boxes. Labels are for filing cabinets, not living, breathing animals.


Everything begins—and often ends—at the gate. A slow break is a curse; a flyer, a gift from the gods. Horses are bred for speed, yes, but the great ones learn nuance. Like a seasoned pitcher expanding his repertoire beyond the fastball, the classy horse learns to relax, shut off, breathe. Those ears flopping on the lead? That is serenity. That is control. Poetry in motion.

And then there was Zenyatta.Dear, magnificent Zenyatta.


She moved like royalty because she knew she was royalty. She didn’t find holes—she commanded them, like Moses parting the red sea. Other horses parted for her the way crowds part for monarchs. This wasn’t luck; it was respect, the currency more valuable than any purse.


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Some horses find trouble because, frankly, they invite it. They lack presence. Others glide through chaos untouched. They create space, authority, inevitability. Lionel Messi is not the biggest, fastest, but yet he finds room, space, and knows how to finish.


Ah… but the social misfits. How I adore them.


In every walk of life—be it a Flea market, or a back alley, or the backstretch at Santa Anita—there exists that peculiar soul who simply cannot command respect. Not for lack of effort, mind you. No. These are the Rodney Dangerfields of the ovals, forever muttering, “I get no respect,” as the world barrels past them without so much as a nod.


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And on the racetrack? Oh, they’re everywhere.


Learn who they are. Identify them. Because once you do, you’ll understand why a horse can be flying on the inside with all the momentum of a freight train… and still not get a single rival to part. The seas do not open for them. There’s no royal procession, no Zenyatta-like reverence. Instead, they get smothered, squeezed, denied—treated like the loud, obnoxious uninvented party guest.


There are simply horses who move other horses with their aura.


You see, horses feel each other. They sense one another’s presence, power, and confidence. There is an undeniable hierarchy out there, a social order etched not in ink but in instinct.

And yes—some horses simply don’t like each other. You’ve seen it: ears pinned, tempers flaring, the occasional savage attempt mid-race. It’s the equine version of a cornerback and wide receiver jawing at the line of scrimmage, then pushing and shoving after the play.


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People laugh when I tell them horses talk trash, but trust me… they do. We just can’t hear it.


I’ve watched a horse pin his ears and lean into a rival with the swagger of a man whispering, “Not today, my friend. Not over my turf.” I’ve seen another retreat as if he’d just been insulted in ways that cut to the soul. Yes, there’s bravado out there—real, palpable bravado. A dominance game that begins before the gate opens and continues long after the wire.

So when you’re reading races—and I do mean reading—look beyond the speed figures and the fractions. Watch the body language, the tension, the disdain, the grudges old and new.


Some horses glide through a field because others respect them. And some, well… they’re destined to be Dangerfields, forever trying to crash a party that refuses to acknowledge them.


Crack that code, and you’ll see what others won’t: the social opera unfolding beneath the hooves.


Once you learn to see race dynamics through this lens—the psychological as much as the physical—your own light will flicker on. And when it does, you’ll join the very small fraternity of those who don’t merely watch races…They read them.


And that, my friend, changes everything.


 
 

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