Artificial Incompetence
- Bruno@Racingwithbruno
- 2 days ago
- 4 min read
So let me get this straight, y’all…
FanDuel and TVG are out here like, “Welp, times are tough, gotta tighten the belt,” meanwhile they quietly keep that Advance-Deposit-Wager machine hummin’ like a Waffle House grill at 2 a.m. Ain’t that convenient? “We’re shutting down… except the part where y’all give us money. That part? Thrivin’. God bless.”
That’s the world now, man. Used to be folks packin’ up wagons headin’ west yellin’ “Gold!” Now it’s a bunch of tech bros in quarter-zips yellin’ “AI!” Same energy, just fewer wagons to hitch a ride a on.
And these companies—Lord have mercy—they look at a payroll and break out in hives. “You mean we gotta pay people? With benefits? What if… hear me out… we replace Carl in accounting with a robot that don’t take smoke breaks or talk about bass fishing?” Next thing you know Carl’s at home explainin’ to his wife that he got replaced by somethin’ called “v3.7 Turbo.”
So over here at Racingwithbruno, we said alright then—if AI’s the future, let’s see what this thing can actually do. Can it handicap a race? Can it pick a winner? Can it tell the difference between a long shot and a horse that just looks depressed? Can it like horses' works and finishing with their ears up?
‘Cause I’m gonna tell you right now—if this robot starts hittin’ trifectas better than Uncle Gary after three Coors Lights and a gut feeling, then we got ourselves a situation, folks. That ain’t innovation… that’s a hostile takeover of redneck intuition.
So, let's take a gander of what Artificial Joe I came up with:
Right now, the horse to beat in the Arkansas Derby (2026) is Renegade.
He’s the morning-line favorite at 3-2
Multiple analysts are straight-up picking him to win, not dancing around it
He’s got the most complete résumé and strong recent form coming in
The main threats:
Silent Tactic (5-2) – legit closer, very consistent
Litmus Test (5-1) – talented but a little less trusted on top
Blackout Time (6-1) – needs a jump to win
So who’s gonna win?
👉 Renegade is the most likely winner.
But—and this is horse racing—this ain’t math class. Favorites lose all the time, especially in these Derby preps where pace, trip, and chaos matter.
Alright, let’s not overcomplicate this like that chatbot did…
For the Florida Derby (2026), here’s the real picture based on the latest odds and analysis according to AI:
🐎 The favorite (yeah… here we go again)
👉 Chief Wallabee (2-1)
He’s your morning-line favorite
Just got beat a neck last time by Commandment, so he’s right there
Has upside—only a few starts, still improving
These comments have got nothing on my man Laz.
AI continues:
🥊 The real threats
Commandment (5-2) – literally just beat the favorite
Nearly (3-1) – dominant earlier prep winner, very legit
The Puma (9-2) – already won the Tampa Bay Derby, sneaky dangerous
So who’s gonna win?
If you want the chalk, AI-approved answer:
👉 Chief Wallabee is the most likely winner
BUT—and this is important—this race is basically a 3–4 horse cage match, not a runaway favorite situation. Even experts are saying the favorite might not be the best bet at that price
Translation:
So once again… we got all this technology, all this data, all this “AI revolution”…
…and the answer is:“Probably the favorite… but also maybe the other three best horses.”
Well I’ll be damned.
That ain’t a prediction—that’s a buffet.
It’s pickin’ the 3-to-2 favorite in the Arkansas Derby and the 2-to-1 favorite in the Florida Derby, and it also told us the next three morning line choices are the big dangers.
Well I’ll be dipped in barbecue sauce and called a side dish… you mean to tell me we replaced half the workforce so a computer can do what a guy on TV already does?
I’m sittin’ here thinkin’ this thing’s about to uncover some hidden gem—some horse stabled behind a Waffle House with a mysterious past—and instead it goes, “After careful analysis… I pick the one everybody already knows about.”
Oh WOW. Groundbreaking. Next thing you know it’s gonna tell us water’s wet and the Yankees spend money.
That ain’t artificial intelligence—that’s artificial incompetence, until you think about it and who the hell wrote AI, a human! A human instructed a machine to look’ at the odds board and goin’, “Yeah… I’ll have what Vegas is havin’.”
Shoot, like you said, the TVG folks coulda done that—and at least they’ll throw in a hot take, some nonsense, maybe argue a little, give you somethin’ spicy. Like a couple of their on-air talent were hammered [drunk] on the air at Hollywood Park. The good times.
This AI? It’s like if unsalted crackers learned how to talk. It's going to be like being a step below 'The Bowling Channel'.
And that’s this whole “AI rush” right now. Folks actin’ like we struck gold, and so far all we done is invent a very expensive way to agree with the favorite.
That's what we've got to look forward to in the future… I think ol’ Randy with a hunch and a Racingwithbruno sheet is still in the game, we lucky.