U A E Oaks: Dubai World Cup Carnival
By Andy Villanueva
Getting closer to Super Saturday (March 2) where many that are pointing toward the Dubai World Cup day will have their final opportunities. This morning/afternoon the big race is the UAE Oaks which was won by Rayya last year. She followed that effort with a strong second place finish to Mendelssohn in the UAE Derby. Don’t think this running will have a filly try the boys, but there are six US-bred fillies and one Canadian-bred:
AL SHAMKHAH (DIALED IN – PRIME THE PUMP)
Filly has been put through the sales ring four times in her young career. As a weanling she didn’t meet reserve in the 2016 Keeneland November Mixed-Sale. Her consignors than came back the following year in July with 2017 Fasig-Tipton not meeting her reserve. Filly sold for $97k during the 2017 October Fasig-Tipton sale. Her current owner purchased her at the 2018 OBS April sale for $130k.
Filly’s dam was unplaced. Her second dam was black-type listed winning a minor stakes at Lone Star Park. She was a big-boned filly who went 10.1 during her Preview day at OBS. She moves more like a sprinter based on that work.
DIVINE IMAGE (SCAT DADDY – SURE ROUTE)
Filly was purchased at the 2017 Fasig-Tipton October sale in Kentucky by Yeomanstown Stud for $125k. Those connections entered her in the 2018 Arqana breeze up sale where Godolphin purchased filly for $429k.
Her dam was a winner in England and the US, her second dam was unraced. If you go back a bit further in her pedigree, her fourth dam is Star Empress who produced Star of Gdansk. She is bred to get the distance, even tab her later if connections decide to try her on turf.
AL HAYETTE (UNION RAGS – WATER OF LIFE)
Interesting path for this filly during her auction life. Walking by Faith purchased filly for $20k during the Keeneland November Mixed Sale in 2016. She was then offered up at the 2017 2017 Keeneland Yearling sale in September for $12k by Centaur Bloodstock. She was then sold for $95k in the 2018 Tattersal’s breeze up sale.
Her dam has dropped winner’s but nothing that would stand out. Second dam dropped Steal the Show who produced $349k earner Stealcase who was GSP thru his career. Will improve as she gets older as her siblings were winner’s at three and four.
STARRY EYES (ANIMAL KINGDOM – STARSHIP ELUSIVE)
This is dam first foal to race, she was purchased during the 2017 Keeneland September yearling sale for $70k. All her black-type in her family comes in her third dam Embellished. Broodmare produced stakes winner’s Seattle Dawn, Truckee, and Island of Silver.
Her win in England in second career start was visually impressive. Filly needed her 2019 debut chasing the highly-regarded Silva who will likely be fighting for favoritism. Expect her to be much improved and wouldn’t be surprised if she fires big.
LADY PARMA (EXCHANGE RATE – ANGLE)
Wasn’t sold during the 2017 Keeneland September yearling sale as her reserve of $17k was not achieved. Sold to Bhupat Seemar at the 2018 Tattersal’s Guineas breeze up and horses of racing age for $78k.
Dam was placed at three-years old, she’s only had this filly get to the races. Second dam is GSP. Produced Demarcation who was a GSW earning $687k for his career.
Will like her added distance in career. Should enjoy the dirt as she gets older.
HABAH (TWIRLING CANDY – DEAR MAMA)
Another 2018 OBS sales graduate, was purchased for $60k by Oracle Bloodstock. Doesn’t have much black-type in her first-two dams in terms of them winning. Second dam Dear Peggy has dropped multiple GSW in Argentina.
Filly doesn’t have a long stride that would be beneficial for a route runner. She seems more comfortable going fast early based on her efforts. Think this might be a bit too far based on her stride and build.
With the betting pools being separate, it’s possible that Divine Imageends up being the post time favorite in the States based on her maiden win as it was quite impressive.
Feel that Starry Eyesneeded her recent start on January 31stwhen she ran a good fifth against Silva, Divine Image and Lady Parma. Both Silva and Divine Image both had a race in December prior to their start on the 31st. Value here if you can get 10/1 or better.
As we stated earlier, Divine Image will end up being the post-time favorite in the States off her win as a two-year old in comfortable win. If there is any question it’s that filly won on synthetic in debut.
Silvawas quite impressive in her second-straight win. Filly has a win over this distance on synthetic will be over bet off her day-light win. Think there is other value but should still have good showing.
Dubai Beauty’s third race off the layoff, filly might be better on the turf with her pedigree. Her win occurred sprinting on the turf, improved dramatically in her second start over the